Outright war between the Palestinian Autority and a privately funded terrorist organisation, I had counted as a "win" for Israel in my three player reference game theory. Since Israel has neither been made illegitimate nor destroyed with recent events, I would have to say that they are ahead of the ball game at the moment. Israel's current strategy may be to engineer a continuation of this civil strife indefinitely.
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Read something today about Israeli guest-workers from Eastern Europe shopping in Ramallah... it almost seems like... or maybe this is just me being over-optimisitics... that there is an action/reaction sort of thing going where Hamas and Gaza pushing away is pushing Fatah and the West Bank back towards the pre-2000 status quo.
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